Property purchase strategy Glenn Foreman, president of Oceanview Development Co

Property purchase strategy
Glenn Foreman, president of Oceanview Development Corporation, is considering submitting a bid to purchase property that will be sold by sealed-bid auction at a county tax foreclosure. Glenn’s initial judgment is to submit a bid of $5 million. Based on his experience, Glenn estimates that a bid of $5 million will have a .2 probability of being the highest bid and securing the property for Oceanview. The current date is June 1. Sealed bids for the property must be submitted by August 15. The winning bid will be announced on September 1.
If Oceanview submits the highest bid and obtains the property, the firm plans to build and sell a complex of luxury condominiums. However, a complicating factor is that the property is currently zoned for single-family residences only. Glenn believes that a referendum could be placed on the voting ballot in time for the November election. Passage of the referendum would change the zoning of the property and permit construction of the condominiums.
The sealed-bid procedure requires the bid to be submitted with a certified check for 10% of the amount bid. If the bid is rejected, the deposit is refunded. If the bid is accepted, the deposit is the down payment for the property. However, if the bid is accepted and the bidder does not follow through with the purchase and meet the remainder of the financial obligation within six months, the deposit will be forfeited. In this case, the county will offer the property to the next highest bidder.
To determine whether Oceanview should submit the $5 million bid, Glenn conducted some preliminary analysis. This preliminary work provided an assessment that the referendum for a zoning change will be approved with .3 probability. Furthermore, the following estimates of the costs and revenues that will be incurred if the condominiums are built:
Costs and Revenue Estimates 
Revenue from condominium sales   $15,000,000
Costs 
Property   $5,000,000 
Construction expenses   $8,000,000
If Oceanview obtains the property and the zoning change is rejected in November, Glenn believes that the best option would be for the firm not to complete the purchase of the property. In this case, Oceanview would forfeit the 10% deposit that accompanied the bid.
Because the likelihood that the zoning referendum will be approved is such an important factor in the decision process, Glenn suggested that the firm hire a market research service to conduct a survey of voters. The survey would provide a better estimate of the likelihood that the referendum for a zoning change would be approved. The market research firm that Oceanview Development has worked with in the past has agreed to do the study for $15,000. The results of the study will be available August 1, so that Oceanview will have this information before the August 15 bid deadline. The results of the survey will be a prediction either that the zoning change will be approved or that the zoning change will be rejected. After considering the record of the market research service in previous studies conducted for Oceanview, Glenn developed the following probability estimates concerning the accuracy of the market research information:
P(A | s1) = 0.9 P( N | s1) = 0.1
P(A | s2) = 0.2 P( N | s2 ) = 0.8
Where,
A = Prediction of zoning change approval
N = Prediction that zoning change will not be approved
S1 = the zoning change is approved by the voters
S2 = the zoning change is rejected by the voters
Managerial Report
Perform an analysis of the problem facing the Oceanview Development Corporation, and prepare a report that summarizes your findings and recommendations. Include the following items in your report:
A decision tree that shows the logical sequence of the decision problem
A recommendation regarding what Oceanview should do if the market research information is not available
A decision strategy that Oceanview should follow if the market research is conducted
A recommendation as to whether Oceanview should employ the market research firm, along with the value of the information provided by the market research firm
Include the details of your analysis as an appendix to your report.

Create a Graph Chart Using software (Excel, Numbers, Google Sheets, etc.) to di

Create a Graph Chart Using software (Excel, Numbers, Google Sheets, etc.) to display the satisfaction level of the patients on the excel chart uploaded 
create the Graph Chart correctly with the appropriate number of sectors, appropriate title, and percentage callouts.  also highlight the percentage to support the answer. 
See attached grading rubric

  Question Workspace Lou’s Bakery has established that JIT should be used fo

 

Question Workspace
Lou’s Bakery has established that JIT should be used for chocolate chips due to the high probability of the kitchen heat melting the chips. The average demand is 158 cups of chocolate chips per week. The average setup and processing time is 1/5 day. Each container holds exactly 2 cups. The current safety stock factor is 6 percent. The baker operates five days per week.
How many Kanbans are required for the bakery? Round your answer up to the whole number.
 Kanbans
What is the maximum authorized inventory? Use the rounded value from the previous question. Round your answer to the nearest whole number.
 cups
If the average setup and processing time is increased to 3/4 of a day due to a process change, how many Kanbans are required for the bakery? Round your answer up to the whole number.
 Kanbans
What is the maximum authorized inventory under new conditions? Use the rounded value from the previous question. Round your answer to the nearest whole number.
 cups
 

you will again be making a concept map covering sections 10.1, 10.2, 10.3 and 1

you will again be making a concept map covering sections 10.1, 10.2, 10.3 and 10.5. Remember to include prepositions and a paragraph explaining your thought process in creating your map. If you do not remember proper guidelines, please go back to the chapter 3 concept map assignment or one of the examples from previous chapters.
Chapter 10 material

Example attached
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part 2
Please follow the formatting guidance listed in the template:
– Introduce the data you are working with
– Introduce the test you will be doing
– Insert the first test images scaled to fit the document
– Discuss your findings and introduce the next test
– Insert second test results scaled to fit the document
– Discuss the findings and any conclusions
Times new roman font and double spacing should be used. Dont put labels like task 1, task 2. Dont just post all your images and put a paragraph at the bottom. 

For this assignment, you will create an interdisciplinary lesson that targets o

For this assignment, you will create an interdisciplinary lesson that targets objectives for your content area and grade level, along with targeting one objective for English/Language Arts/Reading for your grade level. Keep the following in mind as you prepare your lesson plan:
Include the grade and content area in which you are pursuing licensure.
Find a piece of reading that you will share with your students. This can be a storybook, a nonfiction book, a set of instructions, a poem, a song, an article, a current event article, an excerpt from a book, a single chapter from a novel,  a short story, or any other type of reading you can think of. Make sure to include a link to the piece of reading or include the full text of the reading in your lesson plan document. Many storybooks are on YouTube, so a link to the YouTube video of someone reading the book is acceptable. Include an explanation regarding why you chose this piece of reading and how it connects to your content area.
Copy/paste the number/letter code and full wording of each state standard you plan to target for your content area and grade level. Copy/paste the number/letter code and full wording of ONE state standard for English/Language Arts/Reading (ELAR) for your grade level that you plan to target in your lesson. Do not include extra standards. Only include the standards you will use to create your objectives. If you are seeking certification for secondary English, you will copy/paste at least TWO state standards for ELAR and one state standard for either math, social studies, or science.
Create a properly written objective for each state standard that you have referenced. You should include at least 2 objectives, but no more than 4 objectives in total. If you are seeking certification for secondary English/Language Arts, then you will choose one of the other 3 core content areas to include in your lesson (math, social studies, science). Then include at least two English objectives and one objective from either math, social studies, or science.
Include a warm-up for your lesson that introduces the topic of the piece of reading you will share with your students and that introduces your objectives.
Instructional Strategies: Explain how you will use high-yield strategies to teach your objectives and guide the learning. Explain how you will include one specific literacy strategy to teach your ELAR objective. This should be the most detailed section of your lesson plan and should be highly focused on what you will do and not what your students will do.
Include a list of materials needed for the lesson including technology
Include a lesson closure / formative assessment. Note you must address BOTH components in order to earn full points on the rubric. Your closure activity may include a formative assessment component, but if you are combining the two, you must make this explicit in your plan. Make sure to show evidence of directly teaching the skills and concepts you plan to assess in the instructional strategies section. The assessments you plan need to make sense with the lesson you plan in the instructional strategies section. This is where you can explain what your students will do.
Include a plan for summative assessment. Make sure to show evidence of directly teaching the skills and concepts you plan to assess in the instructional strategies section. Your summative assessment needs to directly assess the skills and concepts from your direct teaching in the instructional strategies section.
Provide a plan to reinforce your objectives either through homework or during class the next day.

Now you will type your findings for the week. The first part should include the

Now you will type your findings for the week. The first part should include the overall shape of each of the histograms as well as comparing or contrasting the mean and standard deviation for each week. Be sure to also note the difference in the 80th percentile values. Are there any inequalities that you are noticing between the income based on your race?

he “Monty Hall Problem”  A famous controversy about a probability question erupt

he “Monty Hall Problem” 
A famous controversy about a probability question erupted over an item in the “Ask Marilyn” column in Parade Magazine, written by Marilyn Vos Savant. The problem her column addressed was loosely based on a TV game show called Let’s Make a Deal, hosted by Monty Hall, and hence is known as the Monty Hall Problem. Here’s the question:
Suppose that you’re on a game show and you’re given the choice of three doors: Behind one door is a car, behind the other two doors are goats. You pick a door, say No. 1, and the host who knows what’s behind the doors opens another door, say No. 3, which has a goat. He then says do you want to change your pick to door No. 2? Is it to your advantage to switch your choice?
Marilyn answered that the probability of winning was higher if the contestant switched. This answer generated many letters, including a few from mathematicians, claiming that she was wrong. Marilyn answered with the following logic. When you first pick door No. 1, the chance that you picked the one with the car is P(door 1) = 1/3. The probability that you chose a door with a goat is 2/3. When the host opens door No. 3 to reveal a goat, this does not change the 1/3 probability that you picked the right door (Door 1) in the first place. As only one other door remains (Door 2), the probability that it contains the car is 1 – P(Door 1) = 1 – 1/3 = 2/3. Therefore, it pays to switch doors. Visit a few of the many websites devoted to the Monty Hall Problem to gain some understanding of its subtleties. Do you agree with Marilyn’s logic? If so, try to explain it in your own words. If not, present an alternative approach. 
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Answer questions on document attached watching these videos

he “Monty Hall Problem”  A famous controversy about a probability question erupt

he “Monty Hall Problem” 
A famous controversy about a probability question erupted over an item in the “Ask Marilyn” column in Parade Magazine, written by Marilyn Vos Savant. The problem her column addressed was loosely based on a TV game show called Let’s Make a Deal, hosted by Monty Hall, and hence is known as the Monty Hall Problem. Here’s the question:
Suppose that you’re on a game show and you’re given the choice of three doors: Behind one door is a car, behind the other two doors are goats. You pick a door, say No. 1, and the host who knows what’s behind the doors opens another door, say No. 3, which has a goat. He then says do you want to change your pick to door No. 2? Is it to your advantage to switch your choice?
Marilyn answered that the probability of winning was higher if the contestant switched. This answer generated many letters, including a few from mathematicians, claiming that she was wrong. Marilyn answered with the following logic. When you first pick door No. 1, the chance that you picked the one with the car is P(door 1) = 1/3. The probability that you chose a door with a goat is 2/3. When the host opens door No. 3 to reveal a goat, this does not change the 1/3 probability that you picked the right door (Door 1) in the first place. As only one other door remains (Door 2), the probability that it contains the car is 1 – P(Door 1) = 1 – 1/3 = 2/3. Therefore, it pays to switch doors. Visit a few of the many websites devoted to the Monty Hall Problem to gain some understanding of its subtleties. Do you agree with Marilyn’s logic? If so, try to explain it in your own words. If not, present an alternative approach. 
—————–
Answer questions on document attached watching these videos